July 10th, 2007
CTBT or Bust
There are strong competing arguments supporting the continued possession of nuclear weapons as well as the eradication of them. With an issue this complex, it is understandable that perfectly reasonable people will disagree. However, it seems entirely irrational for anyone to oppose the ratification of the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty (CTBT). Entry into force of the CTBT would make it illegal for any signatory to test a nuclear weapon. Testing a nuclear weapon is a critical phase in the development of new weapons. Without an actual test, scientists can not guarantee the effectiveness of new weapons with any confidence.
There are currently 26,000 nuclear warheads on earth, 95% of which are in the hands of the U.S. and Russia. It would only take 1% of these weapons to destroy either the U.S. or Russia, ruin the global economy, and cause a nuclear winter. If international security cannot be maintained with this many weapons, will more weapons actually be the answer?
A positive aspect of ratifying the CTBT for the U.S. is that the U.S. already possesses a first-rate nuclear arsenal. Ratifying a law that will halt all nuclear weapons innovation would simply serve to ensure that we maintained our position of superiority without having to invest billions of dollars into new weapons.
July 15th, 2007 at 4:41 pm
Good pieces. I think it’s important to cite that the US has decreased its number of nuclear warheads, although the present number is still an order of magnitude too high. Its public aim in modernizing the warheads is not to increase the number but to make them more reliable; the real motive is, I suspect, profit for Livermore and others involved, and for politicians.
July 16th, 2007 at 7:28 am
Money, prestige, and power are intoxicating and often form a lethal cocktail. I like Doug Roche’s line about Reliable Replacement Warheads (”RRW”): “Quantitative reductions plus qualitative improvements do not equal elimination.”